Publications

Research Publications
DateTitleLinkMW CASC Project Page
January 2022It’s Complicated and It Depends: A Review of the Effects of Ecosystem Changes on Walleye and Yellow Perch Populations in North AmericaNorth American Journal of Fisheries ManagementSupply-and-Demand Dynamics Associated with Using Stocking to Maintain Walleye Fisheries in the Face of Climate Change
March 2022Daily surface temperatures for 185,549 lakes in the conterminous United States estimated using deep learning (1980–2020)Limnology and Oceanography LettersFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
August 2022Multi-Season Climate Projections Forecast Declines in Migratory Monarch ButterfliesGlobal Change BiologyEvaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse”
October 2022Operationalizing Forest Assisted Migration in the Context of Climate Change Adaptation: Examples From the Eastern USAEcosphereExploring the Potential for Adaptive Tree Plantings to Restore and Sustain Forest Habitats Across the Upper Lake States
January 2023Connecting habitat to species abundance: the role of light and temperature on the abundance of walleye in lakesCanadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic SciencesFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
January 2023Potential Effects of Climate Change on Appalachian Stoneflies (Remenus kirchneri, Acroneuria kosztarabi, and Tallaperla lobata)USGS Open File Reportn/a
April 2023Predicting climate change impacts on poikilotherms using physiologically guided species abundance modelProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
April 2023Potential Effects of Climate Change on Ambystoma barbouri (Streamside Salamander)USGS Open File Reportn/a
April 2023Synthesis of climate and ecological science to support grassland management priorities in the North Central RegionUSGS Open File Reportn/a
May 2023Potential Effects of Climate Change on Emydoidea blandingii (Blanding’s Turtle) USGS Open File Reportn/a
July 2023A lack of ecological diversity in forest nurseries limits the achievement of tree-planting objectives in response to global change BioScienceExploring the Potential for Adaptive Tree Plantings to Restore and Sustain Forest Habitats Across the Upper Lake States
August 2023Technical Assessment of the Interim Science AgendaMW CASCTechnical Assessment of Climate Science Needs in the Midwest
September 2023Potential Effects of Climate Change on Acipenser fulvescens (Lake Sturgeon)USGS Open File Reportn/a
September 2023A Review of Data-Driven Discovery for Dynamic Systems
International Statistical Reviewn/a
October 2023Genetic rescue remains underused for aiding recovery of federally listed vertebrates in the United States Journal of HeredityLeveraging Genomic Data to Increase Adaptive Potential and Inform Management Action for the Endangered Mitchell's Satyr Butterfly Under Climate Change
October 2023Current management in national and state forests has important but limited impacts on sustaining oaks in temperate forests of the eastern U.S
Forest Ecology and ManagementModeling the Interaction of Forest Management and Climate Change on the Spread and Impact of Non-Native Invasive Plants
November 2023Spatiotemporal dynamics of duck harvest distributions in the Central and Mississippi flyways, 1960–2019
The Journal of Wildlife ManagementIdentifying Effects of Weather and Land Use on Autumn and Winter Waterfowl Distribution Dynamics in the 21st Century
November 2023Accounting for spatiotemporal sampling variation in joint species distribution models
Journal of Applied EcologyFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
November 2023Survival of a polymorphic species in seasonally snow-covered forests
OikosManaging and Promoting the Resiliency of Winter-Adapted Species to Climate Change
December 2023The Incredible HALK: Borrowing Data for Age AssignmentFisheries MagazineQuantifying the impacts of climate change on fish growth and production to enable sustainable management of diverse inland fisheries
January 2024Overcoming data gaps using integrated models to estimate migratory species' dynamics during cryptic periods of the annual cycle
British Ecological SocietyEvaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse”
February 2024Disease-smart climate adaptation for wildlife management and conservationFrontiers in Ecology and the Environment n/a
February 2024Private land management is more important than public land in sustaining oaks in temperate forests in the eastern U.S.
Journal of Environmental ManagementModeling the Interaction of Forest Management and Climate Change on the Spread and Impact of Non-Native Invasive Plants
February 2024Innovation in Climate Adaptation: Harnessing Innovation for Effective Biodiversity and Ecosystem AdaptationNational Wildlife Federation n/a 
April 2024Adaptive Capacity of Inland Fishes Workshop SummaryMW CASC n/a
May 2024Small but connected islands can maintain populations and genetic diversity under climate changeEcographyGraduate Fellowship
June 2024Long-term changes in autumn–winter harvest distributions vary among duck species, months, and subpopulations
Ecology and EvolutionIdentifying Effects of Weather and Land Use on Autumn and Winter Waterfowl Distribution Dynamics in the 21st Century
June 2024Climate-influenced phenology of larval fish transport in a large lakeLimnology and Oceanography LettersUnderstanding and Forecasting Potential Recruitment of Lake Michigan Fishes
June 2024Insecticides, more than herbicides, land use, and climate, are associated with declines in butterfly species richness and abundance in the American MidwestPLOS OneEvaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse”
June 2024Predicting responses to climate change using a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance model
EcologyQuantifying the Impacts of Climate Change on Fish Growth and Production to Enable Sustainable Management of Diverse Inland Fisheries
July 2024 Grassland woody plant management rapidly changes woody vegetation persistence and abiotic habitat conditions but not herbaceous community composition
Journal of Applied EcologyHow Management Decisions Might Improve the Resilience of Prairies Under Winter Climate Change
August 2024 Diminishing productivity and hyperstable harvest in northern Wisconsin walleye fisheries
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic SciencesWalleye Fisheries Bright Spots in a Changing Climate
September 2024Expert engagement in setting a climate adaptation research agendaConservation Science and PracticeTechnical Assessment of Climate Science Needs in the Midwest
October 2024Assessing factors related to Walleye stocking success in the Midwestern United States 
North American Journal of Fisheries ManagementSupply-and-Demand Dynamics Associated with Using Stocking to Maintain Walleye Fisheries in the Face of Climate Change
November 2024Asymmetric impacts of climate change on thermal habitat suitability for inland lake fishes
Nature CommunicationsLinking Stream Fish Thermal Ecology and Adaptive Capacity to Inform Watershed-Based Management and Species Status Assessments
 & Quantifying the Impacts of Climate Change on Fish Growth and Production to Enable Sustainable Management of Diverse Inland Fisheries
January 2025Sweating the small stuff: microclimatic exposure and species habitat associations inform climate vulnerability in a grassland songbird community
Biology LettersGraduate Fellowship
January 2025 A case for assemblage-level conservation to address the biodiversity crisis
Nature Reviews BiodiversityEvaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse”
January 2025Invasive control and native restoration: Directing ecosystem transformation through purposeful food web manipulations 
FisheriesGraduate Fellowship
February 2025Integrating data to assess occupancy patterns of an endangered bumble bee
Conservation BiologyRelieving the Sting: Spatial Prioritization for Pollinator Conservation Under a Changing Climate
February 2025Tree Planting for Climate Adaptation and Emerald Ash Borer in the Lake States, US: Motivations and State of the Practice
Journal of ForestryExploring the Potential for Adaptive Tree Plantings to Restore and Sustain Forest Habitats Across the Upper Lake States
March 2025A climate adaptation menu for North American grasslands
Conservation Science and PracticeGraduate Fellowship
March 2025Effects of Climate Change on Midwestern Ecosystems: Temperate Flooded and Swamp ForestMidwest Climate Adaptation Science CenterState Wildlife Action Planning in the Midwest
March 2025Potential Effects of Sea Level Rise and High Tide Flooding on Laterallus jamaicensis jamaicensis (Eastern Black Rail) Coastal Breeding Areas
USGS Open File Reportn/a
April 2025Managing for Tomorrow—A Climate Adaptation Decision Framework
USGS Open File Reportn/a
April 2025Healing Ogaa (Walleye Sander vitreus) Waters: Lessons and Future Directions for Inland Fisheries RehabilitationReviews in Fisheries Science & Aquaculturen/a
April 2025Exposure to Ultraviolet Radiation Induces Escape Hatching of Cisco (Coregonus artedi) Embryos
Freshwater BiologyEvaluating How Changing Climate and Water Clarity Can Affect Restoration of Native Coregonine Fish in Midwestern Lakes
April 2025Climate change contributes to the decline in off-reservation tribal harvest availability in the Great Lakes regionCommunications Earth & EnvironmentImpacts of Climate Change on Vegetation, Ecohydrology, and Management of Manoomin (Wild Rice) Watersheds
May 2025Effects of Climate Change on Midwestern Ecosystems: Appalachian-Interior-Northeast Mesic ForestMidwest Climate Adaptation Science CenterState Wildlife Action Planning in the Midwest
June 2025Growth–Mortality Coordination Differs Among Xerophytic Versus Mesophytic Tree Species During Severe Drought
Global Change BiologyGraduate Fellowship
June 2025Effects of Climate Change on Midwestern Ecosystems: North American Bog and FenMidwest Climate Adaptation Science CenterState Wildlife Action Planning in the Midwest
June 2025Effects of Climate Change on Midwestern Ecosystems: Eastern North American Temperate Freshwater Marsh, Wet Meadow and ShrublandMidwest Climate Adaptation Science CenterState Wildlife Action Planning in the Midwest
June 2025A Bayesian Approach for Spatio-Temporal Data-Driven Dynamic Equation DiscoveryBayesian AnalysisFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
July 2025Climate-driven alterations of lake thermal regimes
Limnology and OceanographyFish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest
July 2025Differential responses of coolwater fishes to a whole-lake reduction of a warmwater thermal guild
Ecospheren/a
July 2025Sustaining Namāēw (Lake Sturgeon): Partner-led climate adaptation for Indigenous fisheries in the Laurentian Great Lakes Fisheries MagazineIndigenous Perspectives on Lake Sturgeon and the Potential Impact of Climate Change
July 2025Bright spots for advancing ecological understanding and conservation decision-makingConservation BiologyWalleye Fisheries: Bright Spots in a Changing Climate
July 2025 Flood frequency sampling error: insights from regional analysis, stochastic storm transposition, and physics-based modeling
Journal of HydrologyThe Combined Effects of Seasonal Climate and Extreme Precipitation on Flood Hazard in the Midwest
August 2025Three decades of declines restructure butterfly communities in the Midwestern United StatesPNASEvaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse”
August 2025Plants as partners: honoring the personhood of Manoomin in research, restoration, and educationAlterNative: An International Journal of Indigenous PeoplesImpacts of Climate Change on Vegetation, Ecohydrology, and Management of Manoomin (Wild Rice) Watersheds
September 2025Effects of Climate Change on Midwestern Ecosystems: Central and Eastern North American Grassland and ShrublandMidwest Climate Adaptation CenterState Wildlife Action Planning in the Midwest
September 2025Upper Mississippi River Restoration Future Hydrology Meeting SeriesUSGS Open File ReportWorkshop: Natural Solutions to Ecological and Economic Problems Caused by Extreme Precipitation Events in the Upper Mississippi River Basin
October 2025Disentangling the historical impacts of warming and fishing on exploited freshwater fish populationsScience Advances
Quantifying the Impacts of Climate Change on Fish Growth and Production to Enable Sustainable Management of Diverse Inland Fisheries
October 2025A functional trait perspective on restored temperate grassland responses to changing winter insulation and managed disturbance by fireAmerican Journal of BotanyHow Management Decisions Might Improve the Resilience of Prairies Under Winter Climate Change
Annual Reports
YearTitleLink
20222022 Annual Report HighlightsDownload pdf 
20232023 Annual Report HighlightsDownload pdf
20242024 Annual Report HighlightsDownload pdf
20252025 Annual Report HighlightsDownload pdf
Fact Sheets, Reports, and Other Materials
YearTitleLink
2023Ultraviolet (UV) Radiation in Midwest Lakes: Its Impact on Fish and FisheriesDownload pdf
2023Name (Lake Sturgeon) in a Changing ClimateDownload pdf
2024Maladaptation Summary ReportDownload pdf
2025Deep Dive: Supporting the Outdoor Recreation EconomyView on USGS.gov
2025Deep Dive: Sustaining the Rich Economic and Recreational Benefits of the Prairie Pothole Region
View on USGS.gov
2025Deep Dive: Supporting Recreational Fishing in the MidwestView on USGS.gov